Tag Archives | Economy

The Only Video You Need To Watch To Understand The Current Crisis

Back in July when the parliament was discussing the budget for the year 2019, not a lot of people probably focused much on the lawmakers’ speeches since most of them actually criticized it, but we were all amused by what MP Salim Saade had to say about falsifying our deficit in order to get the CEDRE funds “They [CEDRE donors] know that we are lying to them, and we know that they know that we are lying to them!”.

However, his joke was in fact a very small part of a thorough explanation for everything that has led to the economic and financial crisis that we are currently going through. Back in July, that economist had a very clear idea of where Lebanon was heading to, while other MPs and ministers were either not listening or making sarcastic comments instead of asking him to elaborate his claims further, they literally seemed uncocerned and it clearly shows in the below video which I highly recommend you watch. It is 24 minutes long and will explain to your the real reasons for the current state we are in now.

If you are interested in following similar experts who say things as they about our situation, then I recommend you check Nassim Taleb and Dan Azzi on twitter. (The latter regularly publishes interesting articles in Annahar and Al-Akhbar newspapers)

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How to Minimize the Effect of the Dollar Crisis on You

For over a month now we have witnessing a dollar shortage in Lebanon which caused two parallel markets to be established for the currency. The first market is the one regulated by the central bank where financial institutions are supposed to deal by the ~1,500L.L rate, while the other is controlled by money changers where the rate changes from day to day and follows the supply and demand principle. And as banks decrease their supply of dollars to the market, their clients feel obliged to turn to money changers who have been imposing a rate as high as 1,750 or 1,800L.L sometimes (20% difference).

This has unfortunately impacted a lot of people since most of us earn our salaries in LBP but pay for goods and services that are priced in USD. And the 20% variation in exchange rate has been translated as an increase in the price of goods. So if I am holding lebanese lira and want to buy a $10 item, it now costs me 18,000L.L instead of 15,000L.L in case a bank refuses my exchange transaction and I opt to do it at some money changer. A real example is now the price of mobile recharge cards which prices have significantly increased in case you want to pay in Lebanese lira.

To avoid this effect of prices inflation on me, I personally have been using digital channels to settle my payments using my credit card (i.e. dealing directly with the financial institutions at the ~1,500L.L rate) whenever I have the option to do so.

This is applicable to mobile recharge cards and bill settlement, internet subscription renewal, money transfers.

Mobile recharge cards & bill settlement

For touch lines you should first create a user on their website and then you can either recharge a prepaid line here or settle your bill here.

Alfa users also need to create an account on Alfa’s website and they can recharge a prepais line here or settle their bills here.

On the other hand, a lot of ATMs around the country gives you the capability of purchasing mobile recharge vouchers when using your card, and you will of course be charged in dollars at the official exchange rate.

Internet subscription renewal

Likewise, the most popular ISPs offer renewing or recharging your internet account online. To my knowledge, Cyberia, IDM, TerraNet, Sodetel, WISE, and MOBI, all offer the service.

Ogero

Ogero actually set their prices in lebanese lira but I’m including it here because I find it more convenient to pay my bill online than physically going to one of their central offices, or to one of their payment partner (like OMT for example) that impose 2,000L.L extra charge for every settled bill.

To settle your bill online, create an account here and then linkt you landline to it by inputting your number and your initial subscription date which you find on any old bill you have.

Money transfers

Last time I tried to transfer dollars outside Lebanon through one of the money transfer companies, the agent didn’t accept the money unless it was in the currency. However, Western Union recently launched a service that allows you to transfer money online using your credit card. I personally didn’t try it yet but you sign up to it here, and you are required to verfiy your identity by taking your ID card to one of the BoB Finance branches in town before starting to use the service.

Other services

Many service providers provide online services that are either not much advertised or people simply don’t know about. If you are subscribed with CableVision for example, you can pay onlin here instead of going through your dealer. And the same applies to beIN here. So always inquire with any solution provider about such possible payment options that can make your life easier.

The above all works as long as bank provide their clients with reasonable amount of dollars to settle their credit cards. So in sum, try as much as you can to perform your exchange operation at regulated institutions until we hopefully make it out of this crisis!

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The Cheesecake Factory Closing Down For Good in Lebanon

A friend of mine shared with me yesterday an end of work notice that The Cheesecake Factory employees were getting from their management which states that April 30th 2019 will be their last working day due to the restaurant closure. (You can check it here)

The notice attributed their closure to the bad economic situation that Lebanon is going through right now, but I don’t think it’s only that. I personally loved The Cheesecake Factory but always thought it failed to really compete with other american diners here for two reasons.

They never justified their prices

Items at The Cheesecake Factory are expensive if you compare their menu to that of other diners in the country. However their portions are really big and definitely meant to be shared.

Unfortunately, that’s was one thing people failed to get at the beginning, which left an impression that the restaurant is quite expensive while you can in fact share a main dish and a salad with another person and end up with almost the same bill you would get from Roadster or Crepaway.

They never bothered to convey that message to the masses and I never recall they promoted some special formulas for two like other diners do sometimes.

When was the last time they made an advertising campaign?

I recall they made a buzz when they first launched but that was it I guess. My timelines across the different social media platforms is always infested with sponsored posts from food places but I can’t recall the last time I saw an ad from The Cheesecake Factory. On the other hand, I have no idea if they follow the same strategy in the UAE but their outlets there are much busier and I remember I once had to stand in line for a good time to get a table. So I’m not sure whether they should be blamed or the Lebanese market simply has different preferences.

Anyway, as much as I hate to see it going, I think a lot of us were expecting it, and foreign brands who are planning an expansion to Lebanon should definitely take lessons from The Cheesecake Factory experience here.

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Tarboush price increased to 500 L.L

gandour tarboush price tag

I never believed that the price of Gandour’s Tarboush has increased from 250L.L to 500L.L until I saw it at one of the supermarkets a few days ago.

This was a bit hard to believe since Gandour are best known for fixing their products prices at 250L.L each for more than 20 years now, but I think the increase is totally justified since the cost of raw material have been increasing over the years too, so it would only make sense for Gandour to do as others do and increase their prices as well.

However, and while people might keep buying Tarboush despite the price increase, I highly doubt their other products will keep selling if they increased their prices too. I mean let’s be honest, Gandour doesn’t produce the finest products, and at 500L.L, people and especially kids will have a lot of alternatives to choose from. Think about Unica at 500L.L for example, wouldn’t you prefer to get a Nouba mini bar instead of it?

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Krispy Kreme, Costa, TGI Friday’s and Signor Sassi closing down in Lebanon

americana group

I was just informed by a good friend at Americana Group in Lebanon that Krispy Kreme, Costa, TGI Friday’s and Signor Sassi are all closing down in Lebanon due to the turbulant time our economy is going through right now. Americana also manages KFC and Hardee’s as well, but these two are staying for now since they’re making profit.

I personally feel neutral about Costa, Friday’s and Signor, but I wish Krispy Kreme stays since I just love their donuts and prefer them over the overrated Dunkin’ Donuts.

It definitely sucks to be in the place of Americana or other big corporations who are all currently in survival mode, since everybody seems to prefer saving money than spending them on restaurants and luxury items. But I feel bad the most about the poeple who work at these places and will now be jobless, and these are mostly university students who work hard to pay their tuition fees.

I hope the warlords ruling this country are happy about the state we’ve come to!

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Is the economic situation really that bad in Lebanon?

Looks like news about businesses closing or facing troubles are on the rise now. People were surprised to read about the closure of Buddha Bar in Downtown Beirut last week due to the economic and security situation in the country, and today, I just came across this article in Al-Akhbar about Khoury Home facing some difficulties even though it controls a major share of the household products market in Lebanon.

Apparently, due to the decrease in sales and increase in payable to large suppliers, the Khoury family has entered in negotiations with one of their partners to sell their share in Khoury Home. You can read more about it here.

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Beirut ranked last in city competitiveness

This is probably going to burst the bubble of so money people who talk big about Lebanon and Beirut being the best places in the world.

In a recent study published yesterday by the Economist Intelligence Unit, Beirut was ranked 117th most competitive global city in the world, barely managing to come ahead of the bottom 3 cities, Dhaka (Bangladesh), Lagos (Nigeria), and Tehran (Iran), taking into consideration 8 key factors that are Economic strength, Physical capital, Financial maturity, Institutional effectiveness, Social and cultural character, Human Capital, Environment and natural hazards, and Global appeal.

New York ranked 1st worldwide followed by London and Singapore, while with regards to the Middle East, Dubai unsurprisingly ranked 1st followed by Abu Dhabi, Doha, Tel Aviv, Kuwait City, Muscat, Riyadh, Beirut and Tehran.

You may read more about the study here, and download the full report here.

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Where are the gasoline prices going?

The gasoline prices have been significantly increasing over the past few weeks, and have reached today 35,600L.L and 36,200L.L for 95-octane  and 98-octane respectively.

I wonder why all politicians are silent about the matter now while a year ago Gebran Bassil and Raya El-Hassan were “competing” to cut the flaming prices by 5,000L.L!

Anyway, I hope we’re not heading towards paying 40,000L.L/20 liters anytime soon!

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On Lebanese parliament members and their purchasing power

I was on my way to work this morning when I saw this Porsche Panamera with a parliamentary plate number.

Porsche Panamera

While members of the Lebanese parliament can afford such luxury car (priced at around $150,000?) from the salary that they work “really hard” to earn at the end of each month from the taxes we pay for (especially on gas and phone bills), the average employee in Lebanon can hardly afford a Kia Pianto, and of course cries his heart out when visiting Lebanon Motor Show.

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